George Mason University  World Bank Group  Johns Hopkins University MASH-Pandemics

I1: Each ICU bed serves up to 5 patients per month - That number decreases to about 3.5 as the number of daily COVID-19 patients reaches 100

Initial OnsetGraph1The number of patients that can be served by each fully utilized ICU bed decreases with increasing COVID-19 arrivals from as high as 5.0 to as low as 3.3 patients per ICU bed per month.

The model replicated a typical US urban 200-bed tertiary hospital with:

  • 20 ICU beds shared between COVID-19 and routine patient arrivals
  • 25 critical decision unit beds
  • 70 isolation rooms (taking 50 of the internal general ward (IGW) beds)
  • Separate COVID-19 entry
  • 10% COVID-19 patients to ICU with average 9-day stay in ICU (2.8 realized average ICU stay for routine patients)

COVID-19 Care Paths & Assumptions (pdf)

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